Bank Credit and Agricultural Sector Growth in Nigeria, 1990-2014: A Vector Error Correction Mechanism (VECM) Investigation.
##article.abstract##
The study examined the relationship between bank credit and agricultural sector growth in Nigeria using time series data over the period, (1990-2014). The study adopted time series data obtained from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin and National Bureau of Statistics. Five variables were employed for this study. These are Agricultural Sector Growth as the dependent variable; whereas, Broad Money Supply, Credit to the Private Sector, Interest Rate and Inflation Rate as the explanatory variables. The study reveals that all the variables of the study are stationary at level, first and second differences. The study shows the existence of at least one co-integrating relationship at 5% level of significance. The study reveals a short-run equilibrium significant relationship between bank credit and agricultural sector growth in Nigeria. There is no causal relationship between bank credit and agricultural sector growth in Nigeria. The study concludes that bank credit has not significantly contributed to agricultural sector growth in Nigeria. The study recommends that for the economy to grow, the private sector should be encouraged in form of concessional and reduced interest rate. The study suggests that regulatory authorities should stabilize the interest rate which is capable of ensuring price stability and maintaining inflation to a single digit. This may build confidence in the banking institutions and will enable them to introduce innovations to boost agricultural sector output in the economy. CBN and policy makers should adopt vibrant economic policies such as interest rate stability, flexible exchange rate, indigenization and economic diversification which will encourage the banks in financing the sector.
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